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J. Scott Armstrong

Scott Armstrong

Contact J. Scott Armstrong

armstrong@wharton.upenn.edu

J. Scott Armstrong, professor at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, and International Symposium on Forecasting. He is the creator of forecastingprinciples.

J. Scott Armstrong, professor at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, and International Symposium on Forecasting. He is the creator of forecastingprinciples.com and editor of Principles of Forecasting (Kluwer 2001), an evidence-based summary of knowledge on forecasting. In 1996, he was selected as one of the first six “Honorary Fellows” by the International Institute of Forecasters. He has been doing research on forecasting for nearly half a century.

Recent Articles and Publications

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June 7, 2019
By J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten Green
This is the PowerPoint presentation at the Invited Lecture for the Class of 1959 Reunion at Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA on June 7, 2019
February 4, 2018
By Willie Soon, J. Scott Armstrong
Scientists petitioning the Natural History Museum not to cave into climate activist and request board member Rebekah Mercer to resign.
July 14, 2017
By Kesten Green, Willie Soon, J. Scott Armstrong
An essay on forecasting by three leading scientists in their fields, written in response to MIT President Rafael Reif.
July 10, 2017
By Kesten Green, Willie Soon, J. Scott Armstrong, William Briggs, David Legates, Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
A recent letter by prominent scientists to the MIT President Rafael Reif.
July 6, 2017
By H. Sterling Burnett, J. Scott Armstrong
Professor J. Scott Armstrong says the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change violates each of the basic criteria of the scientific method.
April 24, 2017
By J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten Green
The March for Science could learn from this simple check list what is the “Scientific method” is.
October 28, 2013
By Kesten Green, J. Scott Armstrong
The authors post at the Heartlander the flaws evident in the climate models used by the IPCC. Could it be that there is no such thing as global warming, or that the modles are incorrectly predicting the severity of the change?
October 12, 2013
By Kesten Green, Willie Soon, J. Scott Armstrong
In order to meet policy makers’ need for climate forecasts, this paper extends the application of evidence-based forecasting of global mean temperatures. The extensions utilize more years of global mean temperature data and 34 years of better data.

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