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Global Warming/Climate Change A Layman’s point of view

September 28, 2016

Retired Admiral Thomas B. Hayward finds no empirical evidence supporting the theory humans are causing dangerous global warming.

Retired Admiral Thomas B. Hayward, former Chief of Naval Operations and Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Pacific Fleet, has reviewed research presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) it claims proves humans are causing dangerous climate change (anthropogenic global warming or AGW) and finds empirical evidence does not support the AGW theory.

Hayward points out, “The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change…” Because the IPCC was charged with studying the human causes of climate change, it ignored the myriad significant natural factors that influence or even drive climate change including: solar irradiation, volcanic aerosols, ocean decadal currents, winds, planetary orbital effects, and other natural variability.

The central assumption of AGW theory is carbon dioxide, in particular human carbon dioxide emissions, are causing global warming citing a correlation between the global temperature and a significant increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since the beginning of the industrial revolution.

Hayward shows for millions of years, there was no correlation between rising and falling temperatures and rising and falling carbon dioxide levels. For the last several hundred thousands of years, carbon dioxide levels have risen hundreds of years after temperatures began to rise.

Most recently, since the industrial revolution, the period which AGW theory posits human fossil fuel use is causing global warming, during some periods, temperatures rose before carbon dioxide did, during other periods a rise in carbon dioxide levels preceded and tracked rising temperatures, while at other times carbon dioxide emissions have risen while temperatures have fallen or remained relatively stable. In short, Hayward shows, not only is there no causal connection between rising carbon dioxide levels and rising temperatures, throughout history one can’t even find a consistent correlation between the two phenomena.

Admiral Thomas B. Hayward is a former Chief of Naval Operations; Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Pacific Fleet; and member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He is also a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute.